ä»åã®Seattle Watchã§ã¯ããã¯ãããžãŒã®ãã¬ã³ãäºæž¬ã«ã€ããŠèå¯ããŠãããŸããé·æãã¬ã³ããè¿œããããããšã¯éåžžã«å€§åã§ããããããé·æã¹ãã³ã§ã®äºæž¬ã¯ãŸããŸãé£ãããªãããã®ãµã€ã¯ã«ã¯ããçããªã£ãŠããŠããŸãããã®ãããªäžç¢ºå®æ§ã«æ代ã«ãããŠããæ±ããããã®ã¯ãèªãã®å¿ãçŸæèã«åºã¥ããŠæªæ¥ãåµé ããŠããã¢ãŒãæèã§ã¯ãªãããšæ¹ããŠæããŸãã
ãã£ãšããéã«2023幎ã9æãè¿ããŸãããæ§ã ãªæå 端ã®æè¡ããã¬ã³ãã調æ»ããäžã§ãçŽè¿æ°ã«æã§æ°ã¥ããã®ã¯ãããŸããŸãªã³ã³ãµã«ãã£ã³ã°äŒæ¥ããªãµãŒãäŒæ¥ããæ°ãããã¯ãããžãŒã玹ä»ããã¬ããŒãã1幎ã®åã°ïŒ6æé ïŒã«ãçºè¡šããŠããããšã§ããããããã¬ããŒãã¯ãåŸæ¥ã§ããã°äžå¹Žã®åããçµããã®ã¿ã€ãã³ã°ã§çºè¡ãããããšãå€ãå°è±¡ã§ãããçŽå幎ã®ããŒã¹ã§çºè¡ãããŠããã®ã¯ãChatGPTã«ä»£è¡šãããããã«ããã¯ãããžãŒãææ°é¢æ°çã«é²åãéããäžã§ãé·æã¹ãã³ã§ã®äºæž¬ããŸããŸãé£ãããªããåžžã«æ å ±ãã¢ããããŒãããŠæäŸããªããã°ãããªããªã£ãŠããããšãèããããŸããä»åã®Seattle Watchã§ã¯ãè€æ°ã®ãã¯ãããžãŒã«é¢é£ããã¬ããŒããæ¯èŒããªãããããããæ å ±ã«ã©ãåãåãã¹ãããèå¯ããããšæããŸãã
äžççµæžãã©ãŒã©ã ã§ã¯ããTop 10 Emerging Technologies of 2023ããšããã¬ããŒãã7æã«çºè¡šããŠããŸãããã®ã¬ããŒãã¯ãäžç20ã«åœã®90人ãè¶ ããåŠè ãç£æ¥çã®ãªãŒããŒãæªæ¥åŠè ã®èŠç¹ãçµéãããã®ã§ãä»åŸ3幎ãã5幎ã®éã«äººãšå°çã«æã圱é¿ãäžããå¯èœæ§ã®é«ããã¯ãããžãŒã4ã€ã®ã«ããŽãªãŒã«åããŠã10çš®é¡çŽ¹ä»ããŠããŸãã
æ°åã»èªç¶ã®å±æ©ãšã®éã
æç¶å¯èœãªèªç©ºçæïŒSAFïŒïŒèªç©ºæ¥çã2050幎ãŸã§ã«æåºéããããŒããéæããã«ã¯ãSAFã®æ¯çãçŸåšã®1%ãã2040幎ãŸã§ã«13ïœ15%ã«åŒãäžããå¿ èŠãããã
ãŠã§ã¢ã©ãã«æ€ç©ã»ã³ãµãŒïŒå¢å ããäžç人å£ã®é£æéèŠãæºããã«ã¯ã2050幎ãŸã§ã«äžçã®é£æçç£ã70%å¢å ãããå¿ èŠãããããã®ããã«ã¯ããŠã§ã¢ã©ãã«æ€ç©ã»ã³ãµãŒã«ãã£ãŠãæ€ç©ã®å¥åº·ç¶æ ã®æ¹åã蟲æ¥ã®çç£æ§åäžãå®çŸããããŒã¿ïŒæž©åºŠã湿床ãæ°Žåãæ é€ã¬ãã«ïŒã倧éã«ååŸããäœç©ã®åéãæ倧éã«é«ããããæ°Žãè¥æã®äœ¿çšãæžãããããç æ°ã®å åãæ©æã«çºèŠãããããå¿ èŠãããã
ãµã¹ãããã«ã»ã³ã³ãã¥ãŒãã£ã³ã°ïŒAIãã¯ã©ãŠãããã®ä»ã®ãã¯ãããžãŒãäžæ¯ãããããŒã¿ã»ã³ã¿ãŒã¯äžçã®çºé»éå šäœã®1%ãæ¶è²»ããŠãããä»åŸãé»åæ¶è²»éã¯å¢å ããããããã»ãŒãã»ãšãã«ã®ãŒã®ããŒã¿ã»ã³ã¿ãŒãå®çŸããããã«ãæ°Žå·ãèªé»æ¶²äœå·åŽã«ããæŸç±ãäœå°ç±ã®å»ºç©ã®ææ¿ã絊湯ãžã®æŽ»çšãAIã«ããããŒã¿ã»ã³ã¿ãŒã®å¹çãšããã©ãŒãã³ã¹ã®æé©åãªã©ã®ç 究ãéçºãé²ãã§ããã
AIé§åã®ãã¯ãããžãŒ
çæAIïŒçæAIã¯æç« ãç»åãé³å£°ã®çæã ãã«ãšã©ãŸããã«ãç¹å®ã®ç ç¶ãæšçãšããè¬ç©èšèšãã建ç¯ããšã³ãžãã¢ãªã³ã°ãªã©ã«ãå¿çšããå§ããŠãããçç£æ§ãã¯ãªãšã€ãã£ããªææç©ã®å¢å ã«ã€ãªãã£ãŠããã
ãã«ã¹ã±ã¢ã«ãããAIïŒAIã¯äžçã®ãã«ã¹ã±ã¢éšéãå°æ¥ã®ãã³ãããã¯ãªã©ã®å¥åº·å±æ©ãäºæž¬ããããé©åã«åããã®ã«åœ¹ç«ã€ããŸããã€ã³ãã©ãã¹ã¿ãããäžè¶³ããŠããå°åã§ã¯ãå»çããã«ã¹ã±ã¢ãµãŒãã¹ãžã®ã¢ã¯ã»ã¹ãæ¹åããç¹ã§AIã®ã¡ãªãããäžæ®µãšå€§ãããªã£ãŠããã
å¥åº·ã«é¢ããæ°èãã¯ãããžãŒ
ã¡ã³ã¿ã«ãã«ã¹ã®ããã®ã¡ã¿ããŒã¹ïŒã¡ã¿ããŒã¹ãªã©ã®ããŒãã£ã«ç°å¢ã¯ã人ã ã®ç€ŸäŒçã»è·æ¥çãªäº€æµã ãã§ãªããäºé²ã»èšºæã»æ²»çã»æè²ã»ç 究ãªã©ãé éå»çãå éãããã¡ã³ã¿ã«ãã«ã¹æ²»çã«ãæ°ããªæ©äŒããããããäŸãã°ããã€ç ãäžå®çãªã©ã®çç¶ãæ±ãã人ã®æ¯æŽãããã€ã³ããã«ãã¹ãçæ³ã®ä¿é²ãç®çãšããã²ãŒã ãã©ãããã©ãŒã ãæ§ç¯ãããŠããã
ãã¶ã€ããŒã»ãã¡ãŒãžïŒãã€ãªãšã³ãžãã¢ãªã³ã°ã®é²æ©ã«ãã£ãŠããããåç©ãæ€ç©ã®ãã€ã¯ããã€ãªãŒã ïŒåŸ®çç©å¢ïŒãèšèšããŠããããåç©ã®ãŠã§ã«ããŒã€ã³ã°ïŒå¹žçŠïŒãé«ãããã蟲æ¥çç£æ§ãåäžããããã§ããããã«ãªã£ãŠãããç¹ã«ããã¡ãŒãžïŒéºäŒæ å ±ã«åºã¥ããŠç¹å®ã®çš®é¡ã®çŽ°èãèå¥ããææããããŠã€ã«ã¹ïŒãäžå¿ãšãããã¯ãããžãŒã®éçºãè¡ãããŠããããã®ãã¡ãŒãžã®éºäŒæ å ±ãåããã°ã©ã ããããšã§ãéºäŒçæ什ã现èã«äŒéããããã€ã¯ããã€ãªãŒã ãé¢é£ããŠããç æ°ãæ²»çã§ããããã«ãªããšæåŸ ãããŠããã
空éãªããã¯ã¹ïŒç©ºéãªããã¯ã¹ãšã¯ãé«åºŠãªã€ã¡ãŒãžã³ã°æè¡ãšè€éãªDNAã·ãŒã±ã³ã¹ã®ããã»ã¹ãçµã¿åãããããšã§ãçç©åŠçããã»ã¹ãååã¬ãã«ã§ãããã³ã°ããææ³ã§ããã空éãªããã¯ã¹ã«ãã£ãŠãçŽ37å 2000ååã®çŽ°èã®éåäœãããªã人äœã®çŽ°èæ§é ãçç©åŠçããã»ã¹ã®è€éãªçŽ°éšãŸã§èª¿ã¹ãããšãã§ããããã«ãªãã
ãšã³ãžãã¢ãªã³ã°
ãã¬ãã·ãã«ã»ããããªãŒïŒé»åæ©åšã®å¯ææ§ïŒæè»æ§ãããæãæ²ããŠãæãã«ããæ§è³ªïŒãåäžããã«ã€ããŠããããã«é»åãäŸçµŠããããããªãŒã«ãæ²ããããã¿ã€ãã®ãã®ãç»å ŽããŠããããã¬ãã·ãã«ã»ããããªãŒã«äœ¿ããã軜éçŽ æã¯ãããã£ããã䌞ã°ããããæ²ããŠåœ¢ãã€ãã£ãããççŽ ç¹ç¶ãåžã®ãããªççŽ ç³»ã®çŽ æã«ã³ãŒãã£ã³ã°ãããããããšãã§ããå·»ãäžãåŒã®ã³ã³ãã¥ãŒã¿ãŒã¹ã¯ãªãŒã³ãã¹ããŒãè¡£æããŠã§ã¢ã©ãã«ãšã¬ã¯ãããã¯ã¹ããã«ã¹ã±ã¢æ©åšãçäœã»ã³ãµãŒãªã©ã®åžå Žã掻æ§åãããŠããã
ãã¬ãã·ãã«ã»ãšã¬ã¯ãããã¯ã¹ïŒBMIïŒãã¬ã€ã³ã»ãã·ã³ã»ã€ã³ã¿ãŒãã§ãŒã¹ïŒã¯ããŠãããæ£è ããé»æ¥µã§ç¥çµç³»ãšæ¥ç¶ãã矩è¢ã䜿çšããŠããæ£è ã®æ²»çã«äœ¿ããå§ããŠããããåŸæ¥åã®BMIã¯ããªãžããã»ãšã¬ã¯ãããã¯ã¹ïŒç¡¬ããŠæ²ãããªãæ§é ïŒãããŒã¹ã«ããŠãããè³çµç¹ã«ãªãã¿ã«ãããšããå¶éããã£ãããããããã¬ãã·ãã«ã»ãšã¬ã¯ãããã¯ã¹ïŒèããŠæè»æ§ã®ããæ§é ïŒããçäœé©åæ§ãããé«ãçŽ æã®éçºãé²ãã°ãæ£è ã«ãšã£ãŠã®äŸµè¥²çäœéšãæžããããšãã§ããã
ãŸããAccentureã§ã¯7æã«ä»åŸæ°å¹Žéã§äŒæ¥ãæŒãããã¹ããã¯ãããžãŒãã¬ã³ãããŸãšããã¬ããŒããTechnology Vision 2023ããçºè¡šããŠããŸããå瀟ã§ã¯ãããããŸã§ç¬ç«ããŠååšããŠãããªã¢ã«ãªåå空éãšããžã¿ã«ãªæ å ±ç©ºéã®çåœãã·ãŒã ã¬ã¹ã«èåããæ°äžçã«åããããšããäºæž¬ã®ããšããªã¢ã«ïŒç©è³ªïŒãšããžã¿ã«ïŒãããïŒã®èåããªãããã«ã€ãªã4èŠçŽ ãšããŠããããžã¿ã«ã»ã¢ã€ãã³ãã£ãã£ïŒãµãŒãã¹äž»å°ãããŠãŒã¶ãŒèµ·ç¹ã®IDçæïŒãããéææ§ã®ããããŒã¿ãããäžè¬åããAIïŒçæAIã®æŽ»çšïŒããããã¯ãããžãŒã§åŒ·åããããµã€ãšã³ã¹ããæããŠããŸãã
ããã«ãMcKinseyããMcKinsey Technology Trends Outlook 2023ããšããã¬ããŒãã7æã«çºè¡ããŠãä»åŸæ³šç®ãã¹ã15ã®ãã¯ãããžãŒããã€ãããŒã·ã§ã³ïŒç¹èš±ãšç 究ç¶æ³ïŒãšé¢å¿ïŒãã¥ãŒã¹ãšãŠã§ãæ€çŽ¢ïŒãé¢é£æè¡ãžã®æè³é¡ãæ±äººç¶æ³ã®å¢å ãšãã芳ç¹ããè©äŸ¡ãããAIé©åœãããæªæ¥ã®ããžã¿ã«äžçã®æ§ç¯ãããã³ã³ãã¥ãŒãã£ã³ã°ãšã³ãã¯ãã£ããã£ãããæå 端ã®ãšã³ãžãã¢ãªã³ã°ãããæç¶çãªäžçã«åããŠãã®5ã€ã®ã«ããŽãªãŒã«åããŠçŽ¹ä»ããŠããŸãã
ãã®ããã«è€æ°ã®ã¬ããŒãã俯ç°ããŠèŠããšãå ±éããŠæããããŠããçæAIãããžã¿ã«ã»ã¢ã€ãã³ãã£ãã£ããã€ãªãšã³ãžãã¢ãªã³ã°ãªã©ã¯æ¢ã«äžå®ã®æ¯æãåŸãŠãããšèšããŸãããå°æ¥ã®äºæž¬ãå°é£ã«ãªãäžã§ãäºæž¬ã®äžã«ã¯äžç¬ã§æ¶ããŠããŸã£ãããæ¥ã®ç®ãèŠãªãã£ãããããã®ãååå«ãŸããå¯èœæ§ãããããšãç解ããŠããå¿ èŠããããŸããå®éãVMwareãNetscapeã®ããŒã±ãã£ã³ã°ãæ åœããŠãããã€ã±ã«ã»ãã«ããŒæ°ã¯ã調æ»äŒç€Ÿã®Gartnerãçºè¡ãããHype Cycle for Emerging TechnologiesïŒå é²æè¡ã®ãã€ãã»ãµã€ã¯ã«ïŒãšããã¬ããŒããéå»20幎éååéããäžã§ãéå»ã®ãã€ãã»ãµã€ã¯ã«ã«ç»å Žãã200ãè¶ ãããã¯ãããžãŒã®ãã¡ã50ãè¶ ãããã¯ãããžãŒã¯äžåºŠã ããã€ãã»ãµã€ã¯ã«ã«ç»å Žãããäžçºå±ãã¯ãããžãŒãã§ããããã€ãã»ãµã€ã¯ã«ã«è€æ°å¹Žã«ããã£ãŠç»å ŽããŠãããã¯ãããžãŒã®20ïŒ ã¯ãäž»æµã®ãã¯ãããžãŒãšãªãããšãªãæ¶ãå»ã£ãåæããŠããŸãã
ãã®ãããªãã¯ãããžãŒã®é²åããã¬ã³ããåžžã«è¿œããããŠãããã«å¯Ÿå¿ããŠããããšã¯ãã¡ããå¿ èŠã§ãããäžç¢ºå®æ§ãé«ãå€åã®æ©ãæ代ã«ãããŠã¯ãçµå±ã¯èªåãäœããããããšããå¿ãææããããŠå°æ¥ã®ç€ŸäŒãç£æ¥ã®å€§ããªçµµå§¿ãæãã¢ãŒãæèããŸããŸãæ±ããããŠããããã«æããŸããçµå¶ã³ã³ãµã«ã¿ã³ãã®å±±å£åšæ°ãèæžã®äžã§ããçæ§ãè«çã«ãã£ãŠå°ãããæ£è§£ã¯ã³ã¢ãã£ãã£åããŠããããšææããããžãã¹ãªãŒããŒãã¢ãŒãã£ã¹ããšããŠã®èªèŠãšçŸæèããã£ãŠãèªãã®äŒç€Ÿãäºæ¥ãã瀟äŒåœ«å»ããšç解ããŠæºãã£ãŠããã¹ãã§ãããšäž»åŒµããŠããŸãããããŠããã®ããã«ã¯ãèªåã«ãšã£ãŠã®å çãªæ ãæã§ãããçã»åã»çŸããšã¯äžäœäœãªã®ããåžžã«å çãã瀟äŒãæè¡ã®å€åã«ç §ããåããã姿å¢ã倧åãªã®ã§ã¯ãªãã§ããããïŒ